| hitchhikers on trade routes: a phenology model estimates the probabilities of gypsy moth introduction and establishment. | as global trade increases so too does the probability of introduction of alien species to new locations. estimating the probability of an alien species introduction and establishment following introduction is a necessary step in risk estimation (probability of an event times the consequences, in the currency of choice, of the event should it occur); risk estimation is a valuable tool for reducing the risk of biological invasion with limited resources. the asian gypsy moth, lymantria dispar (l.), ... | 2010 | 21265459 |