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assessing risks of climate variability and climate change for indonesian rice agriculture.el niño events typically lead to delayed rainfall and decreased rice planting in indonesia's main rice-growing regions, thus prolonging the hungry season and increasing the risk of annual rice deficits. here we use a risk assessment framework to examine the potential impact of el niño events and natural variability on rice agriculture in 2050 under conditions of climate change, with a focus on two main rice-producing areas: java and bali. we select a 30-day delay in monsoon onset as a threshold ...200717483453
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