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a bayesian sirs model for the analysis of respiratory syncytial virus in the region of valencia, spain.we present a bayesian stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible (sirs) model in discrete time to understand respiratory syncytial virus dynamics in the region of valencia, spain. a sirs model based on ordinary differential equations has also been proposed to describe rsv dynamics in the region of valencia. however, this continuous-time deterministic model is not suitable when the initial number of infected individuals is small. stochastic epidemic models based on a probability of dis ...201425088210
mathematical modelling of respiratory syncytial virus (rsv): vaccination strategies and budget applications.we propose an age-structured mathematical model for respiratory syncytial virus in which children aged <1 year are especially considered. real data on hospitalized children in the spanish region of valencia were used in order to determine some seasonal parameters of the model. weekly predictions of the number of children aged <1 year that will be hospitalized in the following years in valencia are presented using this model. results are applied to estimate the regional cost of paediatric hospita ...201020003640
stochastic modeling of the transmission of respiratory syncytial virus (rsv) in the region of valencia, spain.in this paper, we study the dynamics of the transmission of respiratory syncytial virus (rsv) in the population using stochastic models. the stochastic models are developed introducing stochastic perturbations on the demographic parameter as well as on the transmission rate of the rsv. numerical simulations of the deterministic and stochastic models are performed in order to understand the effect of fluctuating birth rate and transmission rate of the rsv on the population dynamics. the numerical ...200919758545
[incidence and cost of hospitalizations for bronchiolitis and respiratory syncytial virus infections in the autonomous community of valencia in spain (2001 and 2002)].to assess the incidence and costs of hospitalizations for bronchiolitis and respiratory syncytial virus (rsv) infections the autonomous community of valencia, spain.200617020727
temporal association between the influenza virus and respiratory syncytial virus (rsv): rsv as a predictor of seasonal influenza.epidemiologists agree that there is a prevailing seasonality in the presentation of epidemic waves of respiratory syncytial virus (rsv) infections and influenza. the aim of this study is to quantify the potential relationship between the activity of rsv, with respect to the influenza virus, in order to use the rsv seasonal curve as a predictor of the evolution of an influenza virus epidemic wave. two statistical tools, logistic regression and time series, are used for predicting the evolution of ...201627165946
population-based analysis of bronchiolitis epidemiology in valencia, spain.there is a lack of european epidemiologic population-based studies on bronchiolitis and respiratory syncytial virus (rsv) bronchiolitis including both hospitalizations and primary care attendance.201626658376
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